What to predict in delta-gamma hedging?

What to predict in delta-gamma hedging?

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Kilkik · External communityPost link
External question — Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange Author: Kilkik Original post: https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/79069 License: CC BY-SA 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/ Adaptation: HTML converted to plain text; contact email addresses removed. I am working in delta-gamma hedging with machine learning. I guess I have to predict gamma (since predicting gamma tells you how delta will behave) but I don't know why is it needed. I think that a mathematical framework can help me have good understanding of the context. Suppose we currently have a call option with a current delta of $0.6$ at time $t$ . At $t=t+1$ , if the stock price goes up by $1$ , then the option's value goes up by $0.6$ and we need to short $60$ shares and that's it I have a delta neutral portfolio at that time, and I keep doing this at each time step with the new deltas so that I always have a zero delta portfolio and there is nothing to predict and no need for gamma. By the way, when delta hedging the delta of the portfolio is constant equal to 0 and since gamma is the derivative of delta, isn't gamma forced to be 0 too as the derivative of a constant process ? Of course I know I am wrong and my reasoning above has many issues so I tried to set up a mathematical framework for this. Let $S_t, D_t, G_t$ be respectively the stock price, Delta and Gamma of a call option at time $t$ . These quantities are known at $t$ . Let $S'_t, D'_t, G'_t$ be similar quantities for another option on a same underlying, to be able to do neutral gamma hedging. What we want is at time $t+1$ , $P_{d,t+1}=D_{t+1}+yD'_{t+1}-x=0$ and $P_{g,t+1}=G_{t+1}+yG'_{t+1}=0$ where $P_{d,t+1}$ is the portfolio's delta, $P_{d,t+1}$ its gamma, and $N_{t+1}$ the number of shares we short sell (that have a delta of 1). If the rebalancing is done before time $t+1$ I would understand why we are interested in predicting. Is it possible to buy a portion $y$ of an option ?
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KaiSqDist · External communityPost link
External answer — Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange Author: KaiSqDist Original post: https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/79070 License: CC BY-SA 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/ Adaptation: HTML converted to plain text; contact email addresses removed. It does not make sense to buy the "prime" option, you would only obtain a gamma-neutral portfolio by shorting it, because you would need the option gammas to offset each other. I don't think you can buy a portion of a option, it makes much more sense to size up the position. For example, if you need to hedge 1 $C$ with 0.4 $C'$ , it is more feasible to long (short) 100 $C$ (40 $C'$ ). Then again, it really depends on what is offered on the platform or your broker.
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Quoted from Forex.com.bd-Editorial External question — Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange Author: Kilkik Source score (net votes, not local likes): 0 Original post: https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/79069 License: CC BY-SA 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/ Adaptation: HTML converted to plain text; contact email addresses removed. I am working in delta-gamma hedging with machine learning. I guess I have to predict gamma (since predicting gamma tells you how delta will behave) but I don't know why is it needed. I think that a mathematical framework can help me have good understanding of the context. Suppose we currently have a call option with a current delta of $0.6$ at time $t$ . At $t=t+1$ , if the stock price goes up by $1$ , then the option's value goes up by $0.6$ and we need to short $60$ shares and that's it I have a delta neutral portfolio at that time, and I keep doing this at each time step with the new deltas so that I always have a zero delta portfolio and there is nothing to predict and no need for gamma. By the way, when delta hedging the delta of the portfolio is constant equal to 0 and since gamma is the derivative of delta, isn't gamma forced to be 0 too as the derivative of a constant process ? Of course I know I am wrong and my reasoning above has many issues so I tried to set up a mathematical framework for this. Let $S_t, D_t, G_t$ be respectively the stock price, Delta and Gamma of a call option at time $t$ . These quantities are known at $t$ . Let $S'_t, D'_t, G'_t$ be similar quantities for another option on a same underlying, to be able to do neutral gamma hedging. What we want is at time $t+1$ , $P_{d,t+1}=D_{t+1}+yD'_{t+1}-x=0$ and $P_{g,t+1}=G_{t+1}+yG'_{t+1}=0$ where $P_{d,t+1}$ is the portfolio's delta, $P_{d,t+1}$ its gamma, and $N_{t+1}$ the number of shares we short sell (that have a delta of 1). If the rebalancing is done before time $t+1$ I would understand why we are interested in predicting. Is it possible to buy a portion $y$ of an option ?

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