Usefulness of simultaneously buying triangular and multiple arbitrages on the Forex
Usefulness of simultaneously buying triangular and multiple arbitrages on the Forex
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jbmusso · External communityPost link
External question — Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange
Author: jbmusso
Original post: https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/3671
License: CC BY-SA 3.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/
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I have a limited financial background but I'm trying to figure out the usefulness of buying size-n arbitrages (n > 3), and I wonder the kind of risks - if any - associated with such a strategy.
Say that I simultaneously detect :
a triangular arbitrage with currencies A, B and C (one intermediate currency) ;
a quadrangular arbitrage with currencies A, B, C and D (two intermediate currencies) ;
a quintangular arbitrage with currencies A, B, C, D and E (three intermediate currencies) ;
Now suppose that I decide to buy all these arbitrage opportunities at the same time and buy, for each of them, the same amount of the first currency. If I get I right, I'll actually be buying 3 times the first size-3 arbitrage, 2 times the second one and 1 time the last one. Despite triangular arbitrage being theoretically risk-free, we know that we may encounter potential issues here when facing real market conditions, ie. latency, not to mentions transaction costs and finite (limited) margin.
Plus, buying the quadrangular arbitrage would also mean that we could possibly be buying up to 4 different triangular arbitrages opportunities instead (i.e. one, some or all of the following permutations : A, B, C / B, C, D / A, C, D / A, B, D).
The reasoning goes on for all size n arbitrages opportunity where I could potentially be simultaneously buying at least
n - 2
arbitrage opportunities.
Both theoretically and practically speaking, would it be wise to filter out some (or all) of these size > 3 arbitrage opportunities, and if so, why ? Or, in the contrary, would a strategy actually benefit from simultaneously buying all these arbitrage opportunities ? The maths behind this puzzles me !
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Jordan · External communityPost link
External answer — Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange
Author: Jordan
Original post: https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/68907
License: CC BY-SA 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
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I know the question is old but I'm not sure why the response had so many upvotes because quadrangular arbitrage exist.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228228520_A_Matrix_Approach_to_Asset_Pricing_in_Foreign_Exchange_Market
"the arbitrage pattern must involve all four currencies and four
locations, which means fully quadrangular arbitrage. An arbitrageur borrow currency jmin
in location jmin to buy currency imin, and sell it in location imax for currency imin,then sell it
in location jmax for currency imax, then buy currency jmin in location imax..."
https://blog.ylxdzsw.com/2017-10-coinflow-proposal.pdf
"a “quadrangle arbitrage” with all theorems the same as triangular arbitrage except
for there being 4 nodes."
example : buy BTC with EUR, sell BTC for ETH, sell ETH for USD, sell USD for EUR <<- 4 nodes ->> eur to btc, btc to eth, eth to usd, usd to eur.
triangular arb would be : usd to lira, lira to btc, btc to usd.
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