QQ Plot question related to trading
QQ Plot question related to trading
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Shaun Overton · External communityPost link
External question — Cross Validated Stack Exchange
Author: Shaun Overton
Original post: https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/152239
License: CC BY-SA 3.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/
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I'm kicking the tires of DSP and don't fully understand the tools. I built an algorithmic trading system and decided to do a Q-Q plot of the signal to noise ratio against the
average
return for each bin to see if I could eliminate some losing trades.
The conclusions that I drew from this are:
The distribution is fat-tailed
The x-intercept is SNR = 0.10. If I eliminate trades where the SNR < 0.1, the mean return is 0.0004. The mean return for SNR >= 0.1 is 0.0001. I would have expected the opposite based on the Q-Q plot.
Since the distribution is fat tailed, is there any simple filter that I can add to focus on the profitable, right tail?
What else is this plot saying?
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KarthikS · External communityPost link
External answer — Cross Validated Stack Exchange
Author: KarthikS
Original post: https://stats.stackexchange.com/a/152240
License: CC BY-SA 3.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/
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Doesn't 'eliminate trades where the SNR < 0.1' and 'SNR >= 0.1' mean the same thing? I am curious.
If you wanted to consider top 50 - percentile trade, just subset for the top 50 percentile directly, I guess.
The quantile-quantile (q-q) plot is a graphical technique for determining if two data sets come from populations with a common distribution. How do you wish to find out winning trades by contrasting SNR and percentage return. Isn't that like a 2D scatter plot or something?
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