Automatic adjustment in BoT
Automatic adjustment in BoT
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David Mills · External communityPost link
External question — Economics Stack Exchange
Author: David Mills
Original post: https://economics.stackexchange.com/questions/60988
License: CC BY-SA 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
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Suppose Country A operates under a floating exchange rate and suddenly develops a trade surplus with the US. Here is how I see the automatic adjustment mechanism working:
Trade surplus with the US
=> Demand for Country A’s currency increases while the supply of USD in the market increases
=>
Country A’s currency appreciates against the USD
=> Imports from the US become cheaper
=> Increased imports of US goods
=> Increased demand for USD (to pay for the imports)
=> The trade surplus shrinks toward a balance &
USD appreciates against A
I'm wondering: would the exchange rate also adjust in the way I described?
Most of the articles I've read focus on how the trade balance would adjust (surplus -> equilibrium), but none of them mentioned how the exchange rate would adjust (A goes from appreciation to depreciation).
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