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জুবায়ের মিথুন

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About জুবায়ের মিথুন

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    Forex in the blood
  • Birthday বুধবার 01 জানু 1986

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    Ip and cctv security system,web developing ,forex
  1. Identifying Trends - XEM Webinar

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  4. Trend Indicators - XEM Webinar

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    1. needmoney

      needmoney

      আপনার মঙ্গল কামনা করি। আমাদের জন্য দোয়া করবেন। এবং সময় পেলে সফল ট্রেডের কিছু টিপস সকলের জন্য ১টি পোস্ট এর অপেক্ষায় রইলাম।

  8. US NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) Employment | April 5, 2013 | Currency News

  9. US NFP or Nonfarm Employment report is the main focus of the week as traders look at this report to predict future FOMC direction. With recent positive trend in improvements, a strong release today will further add to the momentum of USD. Here´s the forecast: 8:30am (NY Time) US NF Employment Forecast 200K Previous 236K 8:30am (NY Time) US Unemployment Rate Forecast 7.7% Previous 7.7% Deviation: 70K (BUY USD 270K / SELL USD 130K) The Trade Plan Today’s NFP Employment Change release is forecasted at 200K. The Unemployment Rate is expected to be at 7.7% after remaining at the same levels in the past few releases. If we get a significantly lower release on the NFP (130K or worse) and slightly higher Unemployment Rate (7.8% or more), I´d be looking to SELL the USD against stronger currencies as speculation for Feds to continue with QE should dominate the market. On the other hand, if we get a strong NFP release (270K or better) and the Unemployment Rate falls below 7.6%, USD could strengthen and I would BUY USD against other weaker currencies (use CSM or recommended pairs above). If we get a conflicting release, then well wait and see how the market reacts first. If there is an overwhelming sentiment driving the market, well get plenty of opportunities for an entry if we just wait for 5 minutes after the release; you´ll get a much clearer view. Outlook Score Outlook score is derived from market sentiment, focus, and economic indicators for the currency. It represents the long-term trend of the currency and its market perception. In short, a strong Outlook Score means more long-term demand for the currency, and a weak Outlook Score is the opposite. Updated on April 4, 2013 10:45am EST Considering the results of the 3 major releases during the NFP week (ADP, ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMIs), I expect to see a slightly less than expected NFP figure on Friday evidenced by both the ADP Employment figure at 158K vs 200K and ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index at 53.3 v 57.2 prior. And of course, ever since the new algorithm was implemented at ADP, the accuracy of the readings compared to the BLS Private Payrolls figure have gone up significantly, therefore I believe it is likely that NFP will disappoint. Market will probably not sell off the USD ahead of the NFP release, since USD is still the best looking of the bunch at this time; however, with BoJ announcing additional easing policies, we could see some momentum in the works for risk appetite sentiment, which will play well for the USDJPY pair if the NFP were to surprise to the upside. Here are the guidelines for tomorrow’s NFP release: If US NFP is above 270K – I’d BUY USDJPY or SELL EURUSD, depending on the strength meter as USD should gain across the board without challenge. If US NFP is between 210 ~ 250K – I’d expect to see USD strength, possibly focus on the USDJPY pair, following the BoJ decision. If US NFP is between 160 ~ 200K – I’d probably remain neutral and stay out of the market. If US NFP is between 130 ~ 150K - I’d buy EURUSD and expect the market to continue with the trend until Monday If US NFP is below 130K – I’d BUY EURUSD, GBPUSD, and get out of USDJPY if I am in LONG trades, at least for the time being. This would be negative for the USD. NFP Trading Strategy Let´s talk about how to trade this release: We´ll wait for the numbers to come out but continue to hold on a trade, Even if we get our tradable figures (238K to 88K). Wait for a possible revision of the previous release number of 158K, and market usually overreacts with the Revision and chances favor that a solid trade will present itself if we don’t get a conflicting releases between the revision and the actual release; at this point, still stay out of the market. Then the next step is to wait for the Unemployment Rate, which is expected to be at 7.9%. If the Unemployment Rate were to surprise higher, we’ll have to make a decision based on the market sentiment coming into this release… Of course, if Unemployment rate were to fall below 7.6%, then we should see a surge in risk appetite as traders very much like to see lower jobless rates. After all of the numbers have been released, wait for the market to push and wait patiently for a decent retracement before getting in. Look for recent support/resistance areas for entry as a high impact news with various components are extremely volatile, and those who are patient will always get a chance to enter with a much better entry. DEFINITION US NFP Employment measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation´s currency. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. Thanks,
  10. EUR/USD Buy above 1.3079 The euro reached stability at 1.3050 - 1.31 remaining in the downtrend while waiting for new fundamental data, that can give volatility, which may be found in Ben Bernanke's, the Fed chairman to the Chamber of Representatives, and Mario Draghi's, President of the ECB, presentations in Germany. Given that the euro is on the top step of support. It is likely that if the pair closes below the psychological level of 1.30, it may fall to the level of 1.27 in the coming days, the nearest support on weekly charts. Now it is recommended buying with small lots given that this pair still remains under bearish pressure, above 1.3079 support you can buy with objectives to the downtrend line. GBP/USD Key Fractal 1.5235 The British Pound is preparing for a bullish move. In our opinion, it can be strong, for example, the Momemtum indicator is in oversold zone and the MACD line is under pressure, both are very oversold. The breaking of the momentum indicactor is our bullish signal, our goal is short term at fractal daily 1.5410 level and the level of strong resistance in monthly charts. Before reaching this level, we must overcome our fractal of 1.5235 that will define the movement of this pair, therefore, we recommend to pay attention to the level of 1.5235. AUD/USD Sell below 1.0230 (fractal) The Aussie did not fall as the euro and the pound did. This currency is very strong, but as we mentioned yesterday, it had only one dynamic support of 1.0230, the fact that this pair has broken this level signifies that for the next few days there will be a downward movement of the pair to 1.00, but it will have a break in the area of 1.0145, last fractal level daily. Therefore, if there is a pullback back to 1.0230 zone, you can sell this pair with objectives to 1.0145 fractal. Good Luck!
  11. No Confuse স্ট্রাটেজি

  12. Fundamental analysis The euro fell against 13 of its counterparts after the ECB press conference, as Mario Draghi, the European Central bank president, said that the risk to the region's growth remains on the "downside". It was announced that the central bank had kept its benchmark rate at a record-low 0.75%. The Bank of England announced today that it will retain 0.5% key interest rate. The bank also held its target for quantitative easing at 375 bln pounds. The pound strengthened for a second day after future bank of England Governor Merk Carney rejected speculation he would expand stimulus. The yen weakened to 94 per dollar for the first time since May 2010. It could fail to find the level of 94.50, next target crossing bullish USD/JPY in the short term. As for the other reports, expected weekly jobless requests, also at 8:30, the results in recent weeks had positively influenced the markets. Already in Asia on Friday morning, the foundations of monetary policy announcement from the Reserve Bank of Australia could generate a new low of the Aussie, which presents very bearish trend in the near term. Also expected, the trade balance in China. The Chinese economy depends much on the Western world, so a good trade balance of the Asian giant will give a new breath to the world at large. EUR/USD bearish outlook The euro was trading at 1.3543 this morning in the American session. We have drawn a line from a low of 1.30, projecting an uptrend. The pair is trading above this line. It has already had three attempts to break this channel this morning. If you look at the chart below, the momentum indicator is showing a bearish signal, which will be confirmed with the break in the line trend. So we recommend selling below 1.3485, because at that level there is the daily fractal, and if the euro closes the day below this level, it is likely that for the next few days there is a correction to the level of 1.3250, the next fractal. Therefore, we recommend selling the pair only if it the requirements are fulfilled. GBP/USD sell below EMA 200 The British pound is bouncing above the 1.5614 fractal. The data of monetary policy by the Bank of England gave a bullish move to the pair. But the pair continued downward pressure, although we have seen three times it was touching the level of 1.5630 and 1.5644. If the pair breaks it, the way will be clear until the next 1.5440 fractal. Therefore, we recommend sell, if there is a pullback to the level of the 200 day moving average periods (blue), above the 1.5614 fractal, you can buy with caution, as it is likely that this pair continues rebounding. Good Luck!

বিডিপিপস কি এবং কেন?

বিডিপিপস বাংলাদেশের সর্বপ্রথম অনলাইন ফরেক্স কমিউনিটি এবং বাংলা ফরেক্স স্কুল। প্রথমেই বলে রাখা জরুরি, বিডিপিপস কাউকে ফরেক্স ট্রেডিংয়ে অনুপ্রাণিত করে না। যারা বর্তমানে ফরেক্স ট্রেডিং করছেন, শুধুমাত্র তাদের জন্যই বিডিপিপস একটি আলোচনা এবং অ্যানালাইসিস পোর্টাল। ফরেক্স ট্রেডিং একটি ব্যবসা এবং উচ্চ লিভারেজ নিয়ে ট্রেড করলে তাতে যথেষ্ট ঝুকি রয়েছে। যারা ফরেক্স ট্রেডিংয়ের যাবতীয় ঝুকি সম্পর্কে সচেতন এবং বর্তমানে ফরেক্স ট্রেডিং করছেন, বিডিপিপস শুধুমাত্র তাদের ফরেক্স শেখা এবং উন্নত ট্রেডিংয়ের জন্য সহযোগিতা প্রদান করার চেষ্টা করে।

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